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I was disappointed that both Gnassi cars were eliminated at Dover, especially the way they went out. I’m a bow tie fan all the way and I like Larson and McMurray. I am glad to see them showing more speed and hopefully next year will see even better things from that team.
So on to the round of 12 and Charlotte. Is there any reason to believe that Toyota, led by the 78, isn’t the favorite to win? Some people are saying the JGR cars are a little off but it may be very little. Truex stunk up the 600. Jimmie has been showing a lot of speed and so has Chase Elliot. Neither of them will win however. It also seems the Penske Ford’s are a bit off since the rule change.
I believe there will be a big surprise this weekend!! Here’s my top 5.
5 Carl Edwards
4 Jimmie Jonson
3 Chase Elliot
2 Kyle Busc
1 Austin Dillon
Thats right! Get ready to see the 3 and Austin Dillon in Victory Lane. RCR and Slugger aren’t afraid to push the set ups as far as possible now that there isn’t a P2 or P3 for the LIS. Austin was fast last week and will be faster this week!!
Let me know what you think.
Harvick did it again last week. Down in points and faced with possible elimination the weekend at Dover he pulled off a victory in New Hampshire and locked a spot in the next round. His Chevy has been fast all year and he pushes his team hard. A win was not really a surprise.
So what will happen at Dover. One thing I can say with certainty is that the Gibbs Toyotas will be fast. I know I really went out on a limb there but it had to be said. The 48 has been dominant at Dover over the years and the 24 is running fast. Don’t be surprised to see the 4 running up front again this weekend. The tail end of the chase drivers are likely to remain back there. There is a reason why they barely got in the chase, they are a little off from the Toyotas of Gibbs and the Chevys of Hendrick and SHR. As I said last week the Fords of Penske are almost sneaky fast although I don’t see them winning this weekend at Dover.
OK so here are my predictions for this weekend at Dover
5 Chase Elliot
4 Kyle Busch
3 Kevin Harvick
2 Jimmie Johnson
1 Matt Kenseth
Yep, another Toyota in Victory lane. This time its the 20 who in addition to having a very fast race car every weekend has the advantage of being able to pretty much do what he wants on the race track.
Just a guess, lets see what happens.
I was fortunate to attend the Fall race at NHMS a few years ago. It’s a great place to watch a race! The only thing better than New England in the fall is NASCAR racing in New England in the Fall!
So who will win this Sunday? Last weekend we saw the Hendrick cars make a comeback of sorts and show a lot of speed they hadn’t displayed recently. We also saw the Penske Fords run really well, which is flying under the radar a bit with all of the post race contoversy. Of course the 78 had the best car, the most speed and won the race keeping the Gibbs and Toyota dominance going. Although the actual Gibbs cars were a bit off.
They won’t be off this weekend but they won’t win. Team Penske won’t fly under the radar this weekend. You can’t do that from victory lane. With both cars long locked into the race they’ve been looking to the chase for quite a while and it pays off this weekend. Here’s my top 5.
5. Jimmie Johnson
4. Denny Hamlin
3. Joey Logano
2. Matt Kenseth
1. Brad Keselowski
Thanks for reading! Let me know your thoughts.
Yesterday’s race winner, Martin Truex Jr., and Jimmie Johnson, who finished 12th both had cars that failed post race Laser Inspection. It will be a day or two before penalties are announced. However, we do know that the 78 penalty was not egregious enough to prevent the win from putting him through to the round of twelve. For the 48 even a 10 point penalty could change their entire chase, pushing him much further down in the standings and making moving to the next round much more difficult.
NASCAR has effectively implemented a rule that if broken, well a little, means nothing to the race winner and potentially everything to another finisher. Just read that last sentence again. I’m going to put it another way. Cheat and win, no problem. Cheat and finish 12th big problem.
No other way, in my opinion, to put it. I really, really think the sanctioning body is over officiating the racing. Just like in other sports we don’t want to see the officials decide the game. It’s an easy fix. Check the engine and tires after the race and let the PRE race inspection stand for everything else!!
Just my thoughts, yours?
So here we go, the chase is on. 8 Chevrolets, 5 Toyotas, and 3 Fords are set to battle it out for the next 10 weeks for the Sprint Cup title.
Notice I didn’t break it down by driver but instead by manufacturer. Let me tell you why. I believe that the title will come down to two manufacurers. Chevrolet and Toyota will be throwing everything they have at the title. Let me break it down a little further. Chevrolet will be putting most of its support behind Jimmie Johnson, Chase Elliot, Jamie McMurray, and Kyle Larson. Sorry Harvick and Kurt Busch, your teams move to Ford will prove to hurt you in the chase. You are leaving Chevy and Ford can’t help yet!
The Five Toyotas have been the class of the field this year with 11 of the 26 wins. You can’t discount that! They have been dominant and there is no reason to believe they won’t continue to be strong in the chase.
Sonwhat will happen? Here’s my prediction. Jimmie Johnson will win this weekend at Chicago, close behind will be Kyle Larson in 2nd and Chase Elliot in 3rd. Martin Truex will be the highest finishing Toyota in 5th. NASCAR media will be going crazy. Did they see the Chevy’s coming? No, but now they will.
Just a guess!
If I do anything next year it’s going to be going to Darlington for the Southern 500!
I wrote some time ago that we shouldn’t spend too much time living in NASCAR’s past. I still think that. I think for the sport to go forward it can’t look back too much. However, seeing those paint schemes and hearing those stories on TV had to make you appreciative of the sport’s story.
I saw another throwback on the track that I think we have seen enough of. Tony Stewart intentionally wrecked Brian Scott. Why? In my opinion because Tony Stewart is not a good competitor and he’s not good for the sport. Because he’s a three time Champ and this is his last year and he gets a pass. “That’s just Tony” I’ve heard that several times just like when he wrecked Hamlin to get his Chase spot. That was ok because it was Tony.
I realize there is a double standard in nearly everything in life, I get it but I don’t like it. Tony’s antics are old and tired and so are the excuses people make for him!
I thought the race in Daytona was pretty good. It went by very quickly and there wasn’t really much doubt about who was going to win. Not a lot of drama at the end. That’s ok, it was still good racing with great teams.
I am liking Team Penske more and more. I think there are fewer and fear teams in Cup who want to win every race and yes who try as hard as they can all of the time. Earlier this year I wrote an article about drivers needing two or three wins to automatically qualify for the chase. I still think that is a good idea and apparently Brad and Joey think that is already the rule.
They both race hard, which after all is the point, for every position on the track. They also don’t ever say they had a, fill in the blank, place car and that was where they finished. They continue to race fro the next place and the win from the green to the checkered. Again, that is what they are supposed to do.
I realize that this is not very popular with the other drivers in the garage. Apparently most of them have become complacent, happy to finish where they finish and go home to one of their mansions with their money. I don’t particularly like that and I bet you don’t either if you take some time to think about it. Hey, I don’t begrudge them a bit for their success but lets go, right?!
Joey and Brad aren’t at the track to make friends, they are there to win. I’m betting this mindset comes directly from Mr. Penske himself. You don’t become that successful in life without having drive and focus and always, always trying to win.
I will be pulling for the 2 and 22 more and more. I like competition in my competition.