Jimmie Johnson, NASCAR, prediction, the chase, Uncategorized

Charlotte

I was disappointed that both Gnassi cars were eliminated at Dover, especially the way they went out.  I’m a bow tie fan all the way and I like Larson and McMurray. I am glad to see them showing more speed and hopefully next year will see even better things from that team.

So on to the round of 12 and Charlotte.  Is there any reason to believe that Toyota, led by the 78, isn’t the favorite to win? Some people are saying the JGR cars are a little off but it may be very little.  Truex stunk up the 600.  Jimmie has been showing a lot of speed and so has Chase Elliot.  Neither of them will win however.  It also seems the Penske Ford’s are a bit off since the rule change.

I believe there will be a big surprise this weekend!!  Here’s my top 5.

5  Carl Edwards

4  Jimmie Jonson

3  Chase Elliot

2  Kyle Busc

1  Austin Dillon

Thats right!  Get ready to see the 3 and Austin Dillon in Victory Lane. RCR and Slugger aren’t afraid to push the set ups as far as possible now that there isn’t  a P2 or P3 for the LIS.  Austin was fast last week and will be faster this week!!

Let me know what you think.

 

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Hendrick Motorsports, Jimmie Johnson, Joe Gibbs Racing, matt kenseth, NASCAR, Team Penske

Dover

Harvick did it again last week.  Down in points and faced with possible elimination the weekend at Dover he pulled off a victory in New Hampshire and locked a spot in the next round.  His Chevy has been fast all year and he pushes his team hard.  A win was not really a surprise.

So what will happen at Dover.  One thing I can say with certainty is that the Gibbs Toyotas will be fast.  I know I really went out on a limb there but it had to be said.  The 48 has been dominant at Dover over the years and the 24 is running fast.  Don’t be surprised to see the 4 running up front again this weekend.  The tail end of the chase drivers are likely to remain back there.  There is a reason why they barely got in the chase, they are a little off from the Toyotas of Gibbs and the Chevys of Hendrick and SHR.  As I said last week the Fords of Penske are almost sneaky fast although I don’t see them winning this weekend at Dover.

OK so here are my predictions for this weekend at Dover

5  Chase Elliot

4  Kyle Busch

3  Kevin Harvick

2  Jimmie Johnson

1  Matt Kenseth

Yep, another Toyota in Victory lane.  This time its the 20 who in addition to having a very fast race car every weekend has the advantage of being able to pretty much do what he wants on the race track.

Just a guess, lets see what happens.

 

 

 

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Denny Hamlin, Ford, Hendrick Motorsports, Jimmie Johnson, Joe Gibbs Racing, Joey Logano, matt kenseth, NASCAR, prediction, Uncategorized

New Hampshire

I was fortunate to attend the Fall race at NHMS a few years ago.  It’s a great place to watch a race!  The only thing better than New England in the fall is NASCAR racing in New England in the Fall!

So who will win this Sunday?  Last weekend we saw the Hendrick cars make a comeback of sorts and show a lot of speed they hadn’t displayed recently.  We also saw the Penske Fords run really well, which is flying under the radar a bit with all of the post race contoversy.  Of course the 78 had the best car, the most speed and won the race keeping the Gibbs and Toyota dominance going.  Although the actual Gibbs cars were a bit off.

They won’t be off this weekend but they won’t win.  Team Penske won’t fly under the radar this weekend.  You can’t do that from victory lane.  With both cars long locked into the race they’ve been looking to the chase for quite a while and it pays off this weekend.  Here’s my top 5.

5. Jimmie Johnson

4. Denny Hamlin

3. Joey Logano

2. Matt Kenseth

1. Brad Keselowski

Thanks for reading!  Let me know your thoughts.

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Chevrolet, Ford, Hendrick Motorsports, Jimmie Johnson, Joe Gibbs Racing, Kyle Larson, Sports, Uncategorized

Chase Time

So here we go, the chase is on.  8 Chevrolets, 5 Toyotas, and 3 Fords are set to battle it out for the next 10 weeks for the Sprint Cup title.

Notice I didn’t break it down by driver but instead by manufacturer.  Let me tell you why.  I believe that the title will come down to two manufacurers.  Chevrolet and Toyota will be throwing everything they have at the title.  Let me break it down a little further.  Chevrolet will be putting most of its support behind Jimmie Johnson, Chase Elliot, Jamie McMurray, and Kyle Larson.  Sorry Harvick and Kurt Busch, your teams move to Ford will prove to hurt you in the chase. You are leaving Chevy and Ford can’t help yet!

The Five Toyotas have been the class of the field this year with 11 of the 26 wins.  You can’t discount that! They have been dominant and there is no reason to believe they won’t continue to be strong in the chase.

Sonwhat will happen?  Here’s my prediction.  Jimmie Johnson will win this weekend at Chicago, close behind will be Kyle Larson in 2nd and Chase Elliot in 3rd.  Martin Truex will be the highest finishing Toyota in 5th.  NASCAR media will be going crazy.  Did they see the Chevy’s coming?  No, but now they will.

Just a guess!

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Jimmie Johnson, Joey Logano, NASCAR, Sports, Team Penske, Uncategorized

Kansas

Here we go, back to a 1.5 mile track.  I like Kansas more than most of the mile and a half tracks.  I think the racing there is competitive and fun to watch.  Especially last fall when Joey and Matt got in to it.  That apparently isn’t going away.  There was more finger wagging after the race this past Sunday.  I didn’t like to see Matt upside down but I do like to see that kind of rivalry in the sport.

So who will win.  Still hard to bet against those Gibb’s  Toyotas.  They are making speed, speed, speed.  I am going to though and I’m not going with any of my Chevrolet teams, as much as that hurts me.  A Blue oval car will pull into victory lane this Sunday.  It will be back to back wins for Team Penske but not for Brad.  Joey Logano, who I am liking more and more will win.

In case you haven’t noticed Ford is making quite a push in the Sport.  The RFR bunch are running better, Brad has won twice, and young Ryan Blaney is running very well in the Wood Brother’s 21.  Next year they will have four more quality cars from Stewart Haas.  I am beginning to second guess my earlier opinion that it will take that team time to adjust. All of this hurts me a lot.  It also makes me happy to see more competitive cars on the track.

So it will be Joey who wins.  He will qualify well, top three, and run up front all day.  Kansas doesn’t have a history of a lot of yellow flags so look for a lot of green flag runs.  Here is my top 5:

  1.  Joey Logano
  2. Kyle Busch
  3. Brad Keselowski
  4. Jimmie Johnson
  5. Carl Edwards

Thanks for reading.  Talk to you tomorrow.

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Denny Hamlin, Jimmie Johnson, Joe Logano, Martinsville Speedway, NASCAR

Martinsville Recap

Well, I wasn’t even close!  I was feeling pretty good on Friday after my pick, Joey Logano, won the pole.  That feeling didn’t last long after they dropped the green.

I was actually a little worried about my pick after the Truck race when Kyle dominated on the same tire compound Cup used yesterday.  Apparently that worry was well placed because Kyle completely dominated the race yesterday.  Leading 352 laps!  Wow!  I thought I was watching an Infinity race for a while.

Not my favorite Martinsville race ever but I was happy to see AJ finish 2nd.  New drivers being relevant is always good for the sport.  I look for him to win a race this year and Austin Dillon too. Two new winners would be great!  Denny and Jimmie had sub par runs, especially Denny who killed himself with mistakes.

Tomorrow I am going to write about a young man, Ryan Ellis, getting a shot with BK Racing.  He is a good story!!

if you are interested in my novels please see:

http://www.amazon.com/Winter-House-Jack-Hill-ebook/dp/B00D959K0Y

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Hendrick Motorsports, Jimmie Johnson, Martinsville Speedway, NASCAR

Martinsville/HMS

Yesterday I wrote about which JGR driver had the best shot at winning this Sunday in Martinsville.  The clear choice was Denny Hamlin with his 5 wins to 0 by his other teammates.

At Hendrick Motorsports the choice is almost as clear, almost.  Kasey Kahne has either forgotten how to drive or has lost his drive.  He hasn’t just not won anywhere he hasn’t run well.  He won’t be a factor this weekend in Martinsville.

Chase Elliot will run well at the clip but not for the entire race.  The circuit’s shortest track is a Marathon day requiring horsepower, a great setup, and patience.  Chase will have the first two but not enough of the third.  He will run well but won’t have the experience to win.

Jr. will have a great car but his qualifying has been off this season.  I think another bad qualifying day at the clip will put him too far back in the pack and give him too poor a pit stall to win.

Jimmie Johnson has Matinsville figured out, as he does a lot of tracks.  He has won 8 Grandfather clocks.  Three more than Hamilin’s 5.  He has had speed, speed, and more speed this year.  Look for Jimmie to qualify well and get a good pit selection.  This is going to make him tough to beat.

This is a big year for HMS and the 48 team.  Things are changing.  Jeff is in the booth and perhaps a up and coming superstar has taken his seat.  Jimmie arrived and passed a huge milestone in his Hall of Fame career catching and passing Earnhardt.  Let’s be honest, Jimmie won’t be around for more than a few more years.  I think he wants, very badly to win two more championships.  That doesn’t bode well for the other drivers at any track, especially Martinsville.

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