Hendrick Motorsports, Jimmie Johnson, Joe Gibbs Racing, matt kenseth, NASCAR, Team Penske

Dover

Harvick did it again last week.  Down in points and faced with possible elimination the weekend at Dover he pulled off a victory in New Hampshire and locked a spot in the next round.  His Chevy has been fast all year and he pushes his team hard.  A win was not really a surprise.

So what will happen at Dover.  One thing I can say with certainty is that the Gibbs Toyotas will be fast.  I know I really went out on a limb there but it had to be said.  The 48 has been dominant at Dover over the years and the 24 is running fast.  Don’t be surprised to see the 4 running up front again this weekend.  The tail end of the chase drivers are likely to remain back there.  There is a reason why they barely got in the chase, they are a little off from the Toyotas of Gibbs and the Chevys of Hendrick and SHR.  As I said last week the Fords of Penske are almost sneaky fast although I don’t see them winning this weekend at Dover.

OK so here are my predictions for this weekend at Dover

5  Chase Elliot

4  Kyle Busch

3  Kevin Harvick

2  Jimmie Johnson

1  Matt Kenseth

Yep, another Toyota in Victory lane.  This time its the 20 who in addition to having a very fast race car every weekend has the advantage of being able to pretty much do what he wants on the race track.

Just a guess, lets see what happens.

 

 

 

Standard
Denny Hamlin, Ford, Hendrick Motorsports, Jimmie Johnson, Joe Gibbs Racing, Joey Logano, matt kenseth, NASCAR, prediction, Uncategorized

New Hampshire

I was fortunate to attend the Fall race at NHMS a few years ago.  It’s a great place to watch a race!  The only thing better than New England in the fall is NASCAR racing in New England in the Fall!

So who will win this Sunday?  Last weekend we saw the Hendrick cars make a comeback of sorts and show a lot of speed they hadn’t displayed recently.  We also saw the Penske Fords run really well, which is flying under the radar a bit with all of the post race contoversy.  Of course the 78 had the best car, the most speed and won the race keeping the Gibbs and Toyota dominance going.  Although the actual Gibbs cars were a bit off.

They won’t be off this weekend but they won’t win.  Team Penske won’t fly under the radar this weekend.  You can’t do that from victory lane.  With both cars long locked into the race they’ve been looking to the chase for quite a while and it pays off this weekend.  Here’s my top 5.

5. Jimmie Johnson

4. Denny Hamlin

3. Joey Logano

2. Matt Kenseth

1. Brad Keselowski

Thanks for reading!  Let me know your thoughts.

Standard
Denny Hamlin, Joe Gibbs Racing, Joey Logano, matt kenseth, NASCAR, Sports

Richmond

The first race I saw in person was at Richmond.  It is my second favorite track after Martinsville.  I won’t be there this weekend but I wish that I was going to be, it is an awesome place to watch a race.

Guess who runs well at Richmond?  The usual suspects.  Thats right, with the exception of Clint Bowyer, who won the Fall 2012 race with MWR Richmond has been dominated by Penske, JGR, and SHR drivers.  Matt Kenseth won the last Richmond race in the Fall of 2015.

So will anyone new step in and win this weekend?  Lets look at that as a two part question. Will anyone from outside of the teams who have already won this year win?  No!  Will any new drivers inside those dominant teams win this weekend?  I don’t think that will happen either.  I know there has been a lot of talk about Matt Kenseth finally overcoming the “bad luck” and finding his way to victory lane.  There has also been some question about when the driver with the most wins last season, Joey Logano, will win.  They both may win at some point this season but it won’t be this weekend.  I think what happened between them last season has had more of an effect on both of them than they would like people to think.  Human performance at a high level is a fragile thing.  Confidence is huge, given the presumption they have the ability, and it has obviously taken both of them some time to regain the necessary confidence.

So who will win?  Denny Hamlin.  Denny won that first race I went to at Richmond.  He loves races at his home track and he is in the best equipment, at this point, in racing.  Denny will qualify well and lead a majority of the race.  Richmond lends itself to long green flag runs.  It won’t be a thriller.

Please see my Novels on the home page if you are interested in my writing.

 

 

Standard
Jeff Gordon, matt kenseth, NASCAR, Sports, the chase

Drama at Martinsville

In my race predictions last week, I had Jeff Gordon winning the race.  That was about the only thing I got right for the weekend.  I was happy to see Jeff win and move on to the Championship round.  What a story that would be for him to win his fifth Championship in his retirement year.  I will be rooting for that.

If he is going to do the he will still have to beat Joey Logano.  That brings me to something I got very, very wrong.  I said Matt was a pro and he wouldn’t do anything to tarnish the Chase or the great sport of NASCAR.  Matt, nine laps down, stuffed Joey into the wall and took away Joey’s fourth straight win and his spot in the Championship round.  It is a sad day for NASCAR.

What Matt did was the reason why a lot of people don’t like NASCAR and why they don’t have as many fans as they should.  This is the second week in a row when a competitor did something (see cheated) to alter the outcome of the race.  Last week it was Kevin Harvick and this week Kenseth.  Matt took out the best car and maybe the best racer in the Sport right now.

NASCAR this is your chance.  This is your chance to make a stand.  It is your chance to establish a rule and subsequent punishment that will ensure nothing like this happens ever again.  No Super Secret Probation, no irrelevant points penalty, no inconsequential fine.  I mean a real rule with real teeth to it.  How about a 10 race suspension?  How about a Million dollar fine?  That would be a good place to start.  You think Dollar General is interested in paying 20 million dollars and there car is parked for 10 weeks?  Me either.

Some people may be thinking, how will we know that something ,like what Matt did was not an accident?  How do we know his right front really didn’t lock up?  Because I’m not an idiot and neither are you.  Be honest with yourself, there is no possibility that what happened yesterday was an accident.

I hope Joey wins at Texas next week or Phoenix the week after.  He didn’t deserve what happened yesterday.  I also hope Matt gets parked for a long time.  I hope Joe Gibbs gets fined a huge amount of money.  Mostly I hope nothing like this ever happens again.

NASCAR its slipping away from you.  Grab ahold and pull it back in before its too late.

Thanks for your time, talk to you soon.

Standard